
Philip E. Tetlock and Dan M. Gardner
Tetlock is a psychologist and researcher specializing in political forecasting, with an impressive ability to separate good forecasters from the wannabes. His work shows that predicting the future isn’t easy, but it’s not all crystal balls and tarot cards either.
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Gardner is a journalist and author who’s made complex topics like forecasting and risk management understandable. Known for his thoughtful and accessible approach, he’s basically the guy who brings sense to complicated odds.
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Tetlock and Gardner explore what separates top predictors from the rest, using research from “superforecasters” who excel at predicting world events. They break down the habits and mindsets that allow for high-level foresight. It’s an insight-packed guide for anyone looking to up their prediction game.